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荷兰研究分析主要排放国实现净零排放的时间 快报文章
气候变化快报,2021年第8期
作者:  刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(15Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:448/0  |  提交时间:2021/04/20
Net-zero emission  integrated assessment models  carbon neutrality years  
A deep dive into the modelling assumptions for biomass with carbon capture and storage (BECCS): a transparency exercise 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (8)
作者:  Butnar, Isabela;  Li, Pei-Hao;  Strachan, Neil;  Portugal Pereira, Joana;  Gambhir, Ajay;  Smith, Pete
收藏  |  浏览/下载:23/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
integrated assessment models  bioenergy with carbon capture and storage  model assumptions  transparency  climate mitigation  
Anthropogenic Intensification of Surface Ocean Interannual pCO(2)Variability 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Gallego, M. Angeles;  Timmermann, Axel;  Friedrich, Tobias;  Zeebe, Richard E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/20
oceanic pCO(2)  interannual variability  carbon dioxide  CMIP5 models  anthropogenic emissions  
A cold, massive, rotating disk galaxy 1.5 billion years after the Big Bang 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 581 (7808) : 269-+
作者:  Poplawski, Gunnar H. D.;  Kawaguchi, Riki;  Van Niekerk, Erna;  Lu, Paul;  Mehta, Neil;  Canete, Philip;  Lie, Richard;  Dragatsis, Ioannis;  Meves, Jessica M.;  Zheng, Binhai;  Coppola, Giovanni;  Tuszynski, Mark H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:62/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Massive disk galaxies like the Milky Way are expected to form at late times in traditional models of galaxy formation(1,2), but recent numerical simulations suggest that such galaxies could form as early as a billion years after the Big Bang through the accretion of cold material and mergers(3,4). Observationally, it has been difficult to identify disk galaxies in emission at high redshift(5,6) in order to discern between competing models of galaxy formation. Here we report imaging, with a resolution of about 1.3 kiloparsecs, of the 158-micrometre emission line from singly ionized carbon, the far-infrared dust continuum and the near-ultraviolet continuum emission from a galaxy at a redshift of 4.2603, identified by detecting its absorption of quasar light. These observations show that the emission arises from gas inside a cold, dusty, rotating disk with a rotational velocity of about 272 kilometres per second. The detection of emission from carbon monoxide in the galaxy yields a molecular mass that is consistent with the estimate from the ionized carbon emission of about 72 billion solar masses. The existence of such a massive, rotationally supported, cold disk galaxy when the Universe was only 1.5 billion years old favours formation through either cold-mode accretion or mergers, although its large rotational velocity and large content of cold gas remain challenging to reproduce with most numerical simulations(7,8).


A massive rotating disk galaxy was formed a mere 1.5 billion years after the Big Bang, a surprisingly short time after the origin of the Universe.


  
Asynchronous carbon sink saturation in African and Amazonian tropical forests 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7797) : 80-+
作者:  Wannes Hubau;  Simon L. Lewis;  Oliver L. Phillips;  Kofi Affum-Baffoe;  Hans Beeckman;  Aida Cuní;  -Sanchez;  Armandu K. Daniels;  Corneille E. N. Ewango;  Sophie Fauset;  Jacques M. Mukinzi;  Douglas Sheil;  Bonaventure Sonké;  Martin J. P. Sullivan;  Terry C. H. Sunderland;  Hermann Taedoumg;  Sean C. Thomas;  Lee J. T. White;  Katharine A. Abernethy;  Stephen Adu-Bredu;  Christian A. Amani;  Timothy R. Baker;  Lindsay F. Banin;  Fidè;  le Baya;  Serge K. Begne;  Amy C. Bennett;  Fabrice Benedet;  Robert Bitariho;  Yannick E. Bocko;  Pascal Boeckx;  Patrick Boundja;  Roel J. W. Brienen;  Terry Brncic;  Eric Chezeaux;  George B. Chuyong;  Connie J. Clark;  Murray Collins;  James A. Comiskey;  David A. Coomes;  Greta C. Dargie;  Thales de Haulleville;  Marie Noel Djuikouo Kamdem;  Jean-Louis Doucet;  Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert;  Ted R. Feldpausch;  Alusine Fofanah;  Ernest G. Foli;  Martin Gilpin;  Emanuel Gloor;  Christelle Gonmadje;  Sylvie Gourlet-Fleury;  Jefferson S. Hall;  Alan C. Hamilton;  David J. Harris;  Terese B. Hart;  Mireille B. N. Hockemba;  Annette Hladik;  Suspense A. Ifo;  Kathryn J. Jeffery;  Tommaso Jucker;  Emmanuel Kasongo Yakusu;  Elizabeth Kearsley;  David Kenfack;  Alexander Koch;  Miguel E. Leal;  Aurora Levesley;  Jeremy A. Lindsell;  Janvier Lisingo;  Gabriela Lopez-Gonzalez;  Jon C. Lovett;  Jean-Remy Makana;  Yadvinder Malhi;  Andrew R. Marshall;  Jim Martin;  Emanuel H. Martin;  Faustin M. Mbayu;  Vincent P. Medjibe;  Vianet Mihindou;  Edward T. A. Mitchard;  Sam Moore;  Pantaleo K. T. Munishi;  Natacha Nssi Bengone;  Lucas Ojo;  Fidè;  le Evouna Ondo;  Kelvin S.-H. Peh;  Georgia C. Pickavance;  Axel Dalberg Poulsen;  John R. Poulsen;  Lan Qie;  Jan Reitsma;  Francesco Rovero;  Michael D. Swaine;  Joey Talbot;  James Taplin;  David M. Taylor;  Duncan W. Thomas;  Benjamin Toirambe;  John Tshibamba Mukendi;  Darlington Tuagben;  Peter M. Umunay;  Geertje M. F. van der Heijden;  Hans Verbeeck;  Jason Vleminckx;  Simon Willcock;  Hannsjö;  rg Wö;  ll;  John T. Woods;  Lise Zemagho
收藏  |  浏览/下载:27/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Structurally intact tropical forests sequestered about half of the global terrestrial carbon uptake over the 1990s and early 2000s, removing about 15 per cent of anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions(1-3). Climate-driven vegetation models typically predict that this tropical forest '  carbon sink'  will continue for decades(4,5). Here we assess trends in the carbon sink using 244 structurally intact African tropical forests spanning 11 countries, compare them with 321 published plots from Amazonia and investigate the underlying drivers of the trends. The carbon sink in live aboveground biomass in intact African tropical forests has been stable for the three decades to 2015, at 0.66 tonnes of carbon per hectare per year (95 per cent confidence interval 0.53-0.79), in contrast to the long-term decline in Amazonian forests(6). Therefore the carbon sink responses of Earth'  s two largest expanses of tropical forest have diverged. The difference is largely driven by carbon losses from tree mortality, with no detectable multi-decadal trend in Africa and a long-term increase in Amazonia. Both continents show increasing tree growth, consistent with the expected net effect of rising atmospheric carbon dioxide and air temperature(7-9). Despite the past stability of the African carbon sink, our most intensively monitored plots suggest a post-2010 increase in carbon losses, delayed compared to Amazonia, indicating asynchronous carbon sink saturation on the two continents. A statistical model including carbon dioxide, temperature, drought and forest dynamics accounts for the observed trends and indicates a long-term future decline in the African sink, whereas the Amazonian sink continues to weaken rapidly. Overall, the uptake of carbon into Earth'  s intact tropical forests peaked in the 1990s. Given that the global terrestrial carbon sink is increasing in size, independent observations indicating greater recent carbon uptake into the Northern Hemisphere landmass(10) reinforce our conclusion that the intact tropical forest carbon sink has already peaked. This saturation and ongoing decline of the tropical forest carbon sink has consequences for policies intended to stabilize Earth'  s climate.


  
Arctic Soil Governs Whether Climate Change Drives Global Losses or Gains in Soil Carbon 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Wieder, William R.;  Sulman, Benjamin N.;  Hartman, Melannic D.;  Koven, Charles D.;  Bradford, Mark A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
soil carbon  biogeochemistry  models  microbial explicit  carbon cycle  Arctic  
Recent Warming Has Resulted in Smaller Gains in Net Carbon Uptake in Northern High Latitudes 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (18) : 5849-5863
作者:  Zhu, Peng;  Zhuang, Qianlai;  Welp, Lisa;  Ciais, Philippe;  Heimann, Martin;  Peng, Bin;  Li, Wenyu;  Bernacchi, Carl;  Roedenbeck, Christian;  Keenan, Trevor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Carbon cycle  Carbon dioxide  Ecological models  
Can CMIP5 Earth System Models Reproduce the Interannual Variability of Air-Sea CO2 Fluxes over the Tropical Pacific Ocean? 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (8) : 2261-2275
作者:  Jin, Chenxi;  Zhou, Tianjun;  Chen, Xiaolong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Atmosphere-ocean interaction  ENSO  Carbon cycle  Coupled models  Model evaluation  performance  Interannual variability  
Economic carbon cycle feedbacks may offset additional warming from natural feedbacks 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (3) : 759-764
作者:  Woodard, Dawn L.;  Davis, Steven J.;  Randerson, James T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
carbon cycle feedbacks  climate change  economic damages  integrated assessment models  fossil fuels  
Generalized biomass equations for Stone pine (Pines pinea L.) across the Mediterranean basin 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2018, 429: 425-436
作者:  Correia, A. C.;  Faias, S. P.;  Ruiz-Peinado, R.;  Chianucci, F.;  Cutini, A.;  Fontes, L.;  Manetti, M. C.;  Montero, G.;  Soares, P.;  Tome, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Aboveground biomass  Root biomass  Simultaneous fitting  Mixed models  Allometry  Carbon estimation  Residual analysis