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Bias adjustment and ensemble recalibration methods for seasonal forecasting: a comprehensive intercomparison using the C3S dataset 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1287-1305
作者:  Manzanas, R.;  Gutierrez, J. M.;  Bhend, J.;  Hemri, S.;  Doblas-Reyes, F. J.;  Torralba, V.;  Penabad, E.;  Brookshaw, A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  C3S  Bias adjustment  Ensemble recalibration  Forecast quality  Reliability  Ensemble size  Hindcast length  
Historical Variability of Southwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone Counts Since 1855 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (12) : 6936-6945
作者:  Magee, A. D.;  Verdon-Kidd, D. C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
tropical cyclones  southwest Pacific  hindcast  tropical variability  TCs  
Global precipitation hindcast quality assessment of the Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 5451-5475
作者:  de Andrade, Felipe M.;  Coelho, Caio A. S.;  Cavalcanti, Iracema F. A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Subseasonal prediction  S2S prediction project models  Hindcast quality  Precipitation  Teleconnections  
Decadal prediction skill of BCC-CSM1.1 climate model in East Asia 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38 (2) : 584-592
作者:  Xin, Xiaoge;  Gao, Feng;  Wei, Min;  Wu, Tongwen;  Fang, Yongjie;  Zhang, Jie
收藏  |  浏览/下载:19/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
decadal prediction  East Asia  initialization  hindcast  BCC-CSM  
Hindcast skill for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5A degrees N within two MPI-ESM decadal climate prediction systems 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 49
作者:  Mueller, Vasco;  Pohlmann, Holger;  Duesterhus, Andre;  Matei, Daniela;  Marotzke, Jochem;  Mueller, Wolfgang A.;  Zeller, Mathias;  Baehr, Johanna
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Decadal predictions  Meridional overturning circulation  Hindcast skill  
An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 48
作者:  Suckling, Emma B.;  van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan;  Eden, Jonathan M.;  Hawkins, Ed
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Empirical modelling  Decadal prediction  Hindcast skill