GSTDTAP

浏览/检索结果: 共81条,第1-10条 帮助

已选(0)清除 条数/页:   排序方式:
美加研究分析美国碳排放变化趋势及其驱动因素 快报文章
气候变化快报,2025年第15期
作者:  廖琴
Microsoft Word(15Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:287/0  |  提交时间:2025/08/05
Decarbonization  Historical Analysis  United States  
Current European flood-rich period exceptional compared with past 500 years 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 583 (7817) : 560-+
作者:  ;  nter Blö;  schl;  Andrea Kiss;  Alberto Viglione;  Mariano Barriendos;  Oliver Bö;  hm;  Rudolf Brá;  zdil;  Denis Coeur;  Gaston Demaré;  e;  Maria Carmen Llasat;  Neil Macdonald;  Dag Retsö;  Lars Roald;  Petra Schmocker-Fackel;  Inê;  s Amorim;  Monika Bě;  ;  nová;  Gerardo Benito;  Chiara Bertolin;  Dario Camuffo;  Daniel Cornel;  Radosł;  aw Doktor;  ;  bor Elleder;  Silvia Enzi;  Joã;  o Carlos Garcia;  ;  diger Glaser;  Julia Hall;  Klaus Haslinger;  Michael Hofstä;  tter;  ;  rgen Komma;  Danuta Limanó;  wka;  David Lun;  Andrei Panin;  Juraj Parajka;  Hrvoje Petrić;  Fernando S. Rodrigo;  Christian Rohr;  Johannes Schö;  nbein;  Lothar Schulte;  Luí;  s Pedro Silva;  Willem H. J. Toonen;  Peter Valent;  ;  rgen Waser;  Oliver Wetter
收藏  |  浏览/下载:96/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09

There are concerns that recent climate change is altering the frequency and magnitude of river floods in an unprecedented way(1). Historical studies have identified flood-rich periods in the past half millennium in various regions of Europe(2). However, because of the low temporal resolution of existing datasets and the relatively low number of series, it has remained unclear whether Europe is currently in a flood-rich period from a long-term perspective. Here we analyse how recent decades compare with the flood history of Europe, using a new database composed of more than 100 high-resolution (sub-annual) historical flood series based on documentary evidence covering all major regions of Europe. We show that the past three decades were among the most flood-rich periods in Europe in the past 500 years, and that this period differs from other flood-rich periods in terms of its extent, air temperatures and flood seasonality. We identified nine flood-rich periods and associated regions. Among the periods richest in floods are 1560-1580 (western and central Europe), 1760-1800 (most of Europe), 1840-1870 (western and southern Europe) and 1990-2016 (western and central Europe). In most parts of Europe, previous flood-rich periods occurred during cooler-than-usual phases, but the current flood-rich period has been much warmer. Flood seasonality is also more pronounced in the recent period. For example, during previous flood and interflood periods, 41 per cent and 42 per cent of central European floods occurred in summer, respectively, compared with 55 per cent of floods in the recent period. The exceptional nature of the present-day flood-rich period calls for process-based tools for flood-risk assessment that capture the physical mechanisms involved, and management strategies that can incorporate the recent changes in risk.


Analysis of thousands of historical documents recording floods in Europe shows that flooding characteristics in recent decades are unlike those of previous centuries.


  
Fire mosaics and habitat choice in nomadic foragers 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (23) : 12904-12914
作者:  Bird, Rebecca Bliege;  McGuire, Chloe;  Bird, Douglas W.;  Price, Michael H.;  Zeanah, David;  Nimmo, Dale G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:38/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/01
ideal free distribution  positive density dependence  niche construction  historical ecology  hunter-gatherer mobility  
Sensitivity of Historical Climate Simulations to Uncertain Aerosol Forcing 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Dittus, Andrea J.;  Hawkins, Ed;  Wilcox, Laura J.;  Sutton, Rowan T.;  Smith, Christopher J.;  Andrews, Martin B.;  Forster, Piers M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:36/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
historical aerosol forcing  climate model simulations  Forcing uncertainty  Transient Climate Response  Large ensemble  
Origin of complexity in haemoglobin evolution 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Cheema, Suraj S.;  Kwon, Daewoong;  Shanker, Nirmaan;  dos Reis, Roberto;  Hsu, Shang-Lin;  Xiao, Jun;  Zhang, Haigang;  Wagner, Ryan;  Datar, Adhiraj;  McCarter, Margaret R.;  Serrao, Claudy R.;  Yadav, Ajay K.;  Karbasian, Golnaz;  Hsu, Cheng-Hsiang;  Tan, Ava J.;  Wang, Li-Chen;  Thakare, Vishal;  Zhang, Xiang;  Mehta, Apurva;  Karapetrova, Evguenia;  Chopdekar, Rajesh, V;  Shafer, Padraic;  Arenholz, Elke;  Hu, Chenming;  Proksch, Roger;  Ramesh, Ramamoorthy;  Ciston, Jim;  Salahuddin, Sayeef
收藏  |  浏览/下载:86/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Most proteins associate into multimeric complexes with specific architectures(1,2), which often have functional properties such as cooperative ligand binding or allosteric regulation(3). No detailed knowledge is available about how any multimer and its functions arose during evolution. Here we use ancestral protein reconstruction and biophysical assays to elucidate the origins of vertebrate haemoglobin, a heterotetramer of paralogous alpha- and beta-subunits that mediates respiratory oxygen transport and exchange by cooperatively binding oxygen with moderate affinity. We show that modern haemoglobin evolved from an ancient monomer and characterize the historical '  missing link'  through which the modern tetramer evolved-a noncooperative homodimer with high oxygen affinity that existed before the gene duplication that generated distinct alpha- and beta-subunits. Reintroducing just two post-duplication historical substitutions into the ancestral protein is sufficient to cause strong tetramerization by creating favourable contacts with more ancient residues on the opposing subunit. These surface substitutions markedly reduce oxygen affinity and even confer cooperativity, because an ancient linkage between the oxygen binding site and the multimerization interface was already an intrinsic feature of the protein'  s structure. Our findings establish that evolution can produce new complex molecular structures and functions via simple genetic mechanisms that recruit existing biophysical features into higher-level architectures.


Experimental analysis of reconstructed ancestral globins reveals that haemoglobin'  s complex tetrameric structure and oxygen-binding functions evolved by simple genetic and biophysical mechanisms.


  
Extant timetrees are consistent with a myriad of diversification histories 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7804) : 502-+
作者:  Bhaskar, M. K.;  Riedinger, R.;  Machielse, B.;  Levonian, D. S.;  Nguyen, C. T.;  Knall, E. N.;  Park, H.;  Englund, D.;  Loncar, M.;  Sukachev, D. D.;  Lukin, M. D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:41/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

An infinite number of alternative diversification scenarios-which may have markedly different, but equally plausible, dynamics-can underpin a given time-calibrated phylogeny of extant species, suggesting many previous studies have over-interpreted phylogenetic evidence.


Time-calibrated phylogenies of extant species (referred to here as '  extant timetrees'  ) are widely used for estimating diversification dynamics(1). However, there has been considerable debate surrounding the reliability of these inferences(2-5) and, to date, this critical question remains unresolved. Here we clarify the precise information that can be extracted from extant timetrees under the generalized birth-death model, which underlies most existing methods of estimation. We prove that, for any diversification scenario, there exists an infinite number of alternative diversification scenarios that are equally likely to have generated any given extant timetree. These '  congruent'  scenarios cannot possibly be distinguished using extant timetrees alone, even in the presence of infinite data. Importantly, congruent diversification scenarios can exhibit markedly different and yet similarly plausible dynamics, which suggests that many previous studies may have over-interpreted phylogenetic evidence. We introduce identifiable and easily interpretable variables that contain all available information about past diversification dynamics, and demonstrate that these can be estimated from extant timetrees. We suggest that measuring and modelling these identifiable variables offers a more robust way to study historical diversification dynamics. Our findings also make it clear that palaeontological data will continue to be crucial for answering some macroevolutionary questions.


  
Observational constraints on the effective climate sensitivity from the historical period 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (3)
作者:  Tokarska, Katarzyna B.;  Hegerl, Gabriele C.;  Schurer, Andrew P.;  Forster, Piers M.;  Marvel, Kate
收藏  |  浏览/下载:21/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
climate sensitivity  detection and attribution  historical period  greenhouse gases  
Charting two centuries of transformation in a coastal social-ecological system: A mixed methods approach 期刊论文
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2020, 61
作者:  Thurstan, Ruth H.;  Diggles, Ben K.;  Gillies, Chris L.;  Strong, Michael K.;  Kerkhove, Ray;  Buckley, Sarah M.;  King, Robert A.;  Smythe, Vince;  Heller-Wagner, Gideon;  Weeks, Rebecca;  Palin, Fred;  McLeod, Ian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:46/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Cultural history  Environmental history  Historical ecology  Moreton Bay  Oyster  Shifting baseline syndrome  
Tail-propelled aquatic locomotion in a theropod dinosaur 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Banerjee, Antara;  Fyfe, John C.;  Polvani, Lorenzo M.;  Waugh, Darryn;  Chang, Kai-Lan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:103/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Discovery that the giant theropod dinosaur Spinosaurus has a large flexible tail indicates that it was primarily aquatic and swam in a similar manner to extant tail-propelled aquatic vertebrates.


In recent decades, intensive research on non-avian dinosaurs has strongly suggested that these animals were restricted to terrestrial environments(1). Historical proposals that some groups, such as sauropods and hadrosaurs, lived in aquatic environments(2,3) were abandoned decades ago(4-6). It has recently been argued that at least some of the spinosaurids-an unusual group of large-bodied theropods of the Cretaceous era-were semi-aquatic(7,8), but this idea has been challenged on anatomical, biomechanical and taphonomic grounds, and remains controversial(9-11). Here we present unambiguous evidence for an aquatic propulsive structure in a dinosaur, the giant theropod Spinosaurus aegyptiacus(7,12). This dinosaur has a tail with an unexpected and unique shape that consists of extremely tall neural spines and elongate chevrons, which forms a large, flexible fin-like organ capable of extensive lateral excursion. Using a robotic flapping apparatus to measure undulatory forces in physical models of different tail shapes, we show that the tail shape of Spinosaurus produces greater thrust and efficiency in water than the tail shapes of terrestrial dinosaurs and that these measures of performance are more comparable to those of extant aquatic vertebrates that use vertically expanded tails to generate forward propulsion while swimming. These results are consistent with the suite of adaptations for an aquatic lifestyle and piscivorous diet that have previously been documented for Spinosaurus(7,13,14). Although developed to a lesser degree, aquatic adaptations are also found in other members of the spinosaurid clade(15,16), which had a near-global distribution and a stratigraphic range of more than 50 million years(14), pointing to a substantial invasion of aquatic environments by dinosaurs.


  
Biogeographic historical legacies in the net primary productivity of Northern Hemisphere forests 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2020, 23 (5) : 800-810
作者:  Conradi, Timo;  Van Meerbeek, Koenraad;  Ordonez, Alejandro;  Svenning, Jens-Christian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:31/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Climate change  ecosystem functioning  functional diversity  historical contingency  NPP  species pool