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Characteristics of upper-tropospheric outflow-layer clouds of Typhoon Francisco (2013) observed by hydrometeor videosonde 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 235
作者:  Ohigashi, Tadayasu;  Tsuboki, Kazuhisa;  Suzuki, Yuto;  Yamada, Hiroyuki;  Nakagawa, Katsuhiro
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Tropical cyclone  Cloud  Ice crystal  Upper-tropospheric outflow layer  Videosonde  
Population flow drives spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 in China 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Fernandez, Diego Carlos;  Komal, Ruchi;  Langel, Jennifer;  Ma, Jun;  Duy, Phan Q.;  Penzo, Mario A.;  Zhao, Haiqing;  Hattar, Samer
收藏  |  浏览/下载:84/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Sudden, large-scale and diffuse human migration can amplify localized outbreaks of disease into widespread epidemics(1-4). Rapid and accurate tracking of aggregate population flows may therefore be epidemiologically informative. Here we use 11,478,484 counts of mobile phone data from individuals leaving or transiting through the prefecture of Wuhan between 1 January and 24 January 2020 as they moved to 296 prefectures throughout mainland China. First, we document the efficacy of quarantine in ceasing movement. Second, we show that the distribution of population outflow from Wuhan accurately predicts the relative frequency and geographical distribution of infections with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) until 19 February 2020, across mainland China. Third, we develop a spatio-temporal '  risk source'  model that leverages population flow data (which operationalize the risk that emanates from epidemic epicentres) not only to forecast the distribution of confirmed cases, but also to identify regions that have a high risk of transmission at an early stage. Fourth, we use this risk source model to statistically derive the geographical spread of COVID-19 and the growth pattern based on the population outflow from Wuhan  the model yields a benchmark trend and an index for assessing the risk of community transmission of COVID-19 over time for different locations. This approach can be used by policy-makers in any nation with available data to make rapid and accurate risk assessments and to plan the allocation of limited resources ahead of ongoing outbreaks.


Modelling of population flows in China enables the forecasting of the distribution of confirmed cases of COVID-19 and the identification of areas at high risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission at an early stage.


  
Is Nightside Outflow Required to Induce Magnetospheric Sawtooth Oscillations 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (6)
作者:  Zhang, Binzheng;  Brambles, Oliver J.;  Lotko, William;  Lyon, John G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
ionospheric outflow  sawtooth oscillation  magnetotail  multifluid MHD  cusp  
Factors Controlling O(+)and H(+)Outflow in the Cusp During a Geomagnetic Storm: FAST/TEAMS Observations 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (11)
作者:  Zhao, K.;  Kistler, L. M.;  Lund, E. J.;  Nowrouzi, N.;  Kitamura, N.;  Strangeway, R. J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:20/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
cusp  ion outflow  energy input  statistical relationship  instrument and observation  
Ice front blocking of ocean heat transport to an Antarctic ice shelf 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 578 (7796) : 568-+
作者:  Alexandrov, Ludmil B.;  Kim, Jaegil;  Haradhvala, Nicholas J.;  Huang, Mi Ni;  Ng, Alvin Wei Tian;  Wu, Yang;  Boot, Arnoud;  Covington, Kyle R.;  Gordenin, Dmitry A.;  Bergstrom, Erik N.;  Islam, S. M. Ashiqul;  Lopez-Bigas, Nuria;  Klimczak, Leszek J.;  McPherson, John R.;  Morganella, Sandro;  Sabarinathan, Radhakrishnan;  Wheeler, David A.;  Mustonen, Ville;  Getz, Gad;  Rozen, Steven G.;  Stratton, Michael R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:40/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

The front of the Getz Ice Shelf in West Antarctica creates an abrupt topographic step that deflects ocean currents, suppressing 70% of the heat delivery to the ice sheet.


Mass loss from the Antarctic Ice Sheet to the ocean has increased in recent decades, largely because the thinning of its floating ice shelves has allowed the outflow of grounded ice to accelerate(1,2). Enhanced basal melting of the ice shelves is thought to be the ultimate driver of change(2,3), motivating a recent focus on the processes that control ocean heat transport onto and across the seabed of the Antarctic continental shelf towards the ice(4-6). However, the shoreward heat flux typically far exceeds that required to match observed melt rates(2,7,8), suggesting that other critical controls exist. Here we show that the depth-independent (barotropic) component of the heat flow towards an ice shelf is blocked by the marked step shape of the ice front, and that only the depth-varying (baroclinic) component, which is typically much smaller, can enter the sub-ice cavity. Our results arise from direct observations of the Getz Ice Shelf system and laboratory experiments on a rotating platform. A similar blocking of the barotropic component may occur in other areas with comparable ice-bathymetry configurations, which may explain why changes in the density structure of the water column have been found to be a better indicator of basal melt rate variability than the heat transported onto the continental shelf(9). Representing the step topography of the ice front accurately in models is thus important for simulating ocean heat fluxes and induced melt rates.


  
Relating Observations of Gradient Nonbalance at the Top of Hurricanes With Their Warm Core Structures 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Cohen, Yair;  Durden, Stephen L.;  Harnik, Nili;  Heifetz, Eyal
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
gradient non balance  hurricane outflow  tropical cyclone intensity  dropsonde observations  hurricane upper level observations  hurricane intensification  
A 14-Year Climatology of Saharan Dust Emission Mechanisms Inferred From Automatically Tracked Plumes 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (16) : 9665-9690
作者:  Harrison, Thomas Caton;  Washington, Richard;  Engelstaedter, Sebastian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
mineral dust  dust emission mechanisms  SEVIRI  cold pool outflow  nocturnal low-level jet  
Understanding the summertime diurnal cycle of precipitation over sub-Saharan West Africa: regions with daytime rainfall peaks in the absence of significant topographic features 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 2903-2922
作者:  Vizy, Edward K.;  Cook, Kerry H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Diurnal cycle of precipitation  West Africa  Sahel  Mesoscale convective system  Cold pool outflow  MCS genesis  African easterly wave disturbance  African easterly jet  Inter-tropical front  Convection permitting modeling  
Assessment of Regional Mercury Deposition and Emission Outflow in Mainland China 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (17) : 9868-9890
作者:  Wang, Xun;  Lin, Che-Jen;  Feng, Xinbin;  Yuan, Wei;  Fu, Xuewu;  Zhang, Hui;  Wu, Qingru;  Wang, Shuxiao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:22/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
mercury pollution  mass balance  CMAQ-Hg  deposition  emission outflow  
Magnetic Field Dipolarization and Its Associated Ion Flux Variations in the Dawnside Deep Inner Magnetosphere: Arase Observations 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (16) : 7942-7950
作者:  Nose, M.;  Matsuoka, A.;  Kasahara, S.;  Yokota, S.;  Teramoto, M.;  Keika, K.;  Yamamoto, K.;  Nomura, R.;  Fujimoto, A.;  Higashio, N.;  Koshiishi, H.;  Imajo, S.;  Oimatsu, S.;  Tanaka, Y. -M.;  Shinohara, M.;  Shinohara, I.;  Miyoshi, Y.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:33/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
dipolarization  inner magnetosphere  O+ outflow  acceleration  partial ring current