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Population flow drives spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 in China 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Fernandez, Diego Carlos;  Komal, Ruchi;  Langel, Jennifer;  Ma, Jun;  Duy, Phan Q.;  Penzo, Mario A.;  Zhao, Haiqing;  Hattar, Samer
收藏  |  浏览/下载:69/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Sudden, large-scale and diffuse human migration can amplify localized outbreaks of disease into widespread epidemics(1-4). Rapid and accurate tracking of aggregate population flows may therefore be epidemiologically informative. Here we use 11,478,484 counts of mobile phone data from individuals leaving or transiting through the prefecture of Wuhan between 1 January and 24 January 2020 as they moved to 296 prefectures throughout mainland China. First, we document the efficacy of quarantine in ceasing movement. Second, we show that the distribution of population outflow from Wuhan accurately predicts the relative frequency and geographical distribution of infections with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) until 19 February 2020, across mainland China. Third, we develop a spatio-temporal '  risk source'  model that leverages population flow data (which operationalize the risk that emanates from epidemic epicentres) not only to forecast the distribution of confirmed cases, but also to identify regions that have a high risk of transmission at an early stage. Fourth, we use this risk source model to statistically derive the geographical spread of COVID-19 and the growth pattern based on the population outflow from Wuhan  the model yields a benchmark trend and an index for assessing the risk of community transmission of COVID-19 over time for different locations. This approach can be used by policy-makers in any nation with available data to make rapid and accurate risk assessments and to plan the allocation of limited resources ahead of ongoing outbreaks.


Modelling of population flows in China enables the forecasting of the distribution of confirmed cases of COVID-19 and the identification of areas at high risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission at an early stage.


  
Paracrine orchestration of intestinal tumorigenesis by a mesenchymal niche 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7804) : 524-+
作者:  Poore, Gregory D.;  Kopylova, Evguenia;  Zhu, Qiyun;  Carpenter, Carolina;  Fraraccio, Serena;  Wandro, Stephen;  Kosciolek, Tomasz;  Janssen, Stefan;  Metcalf, Jessica;  Song, Se Jin;  Kanbar, Jad;  Miller-Montgomery, Sandrine;  Heaton, Robert;  Mckay, Rana;  Patel, Sandip Pravin;  Swafford, Austin D.;  Knight, Rob
收藏  |  浏览/下载:40/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

The initiation of an intestinal tumour is a probabilistic process that depends on the competition between mutant and normal epithelial stem cells in crypts(1). Intestinal stem cells are closely associated with a diverse but poorly characterized network of mesenchymal cell types(2,3). However, whether the physiological mesenchymal microenvironment of mutant stem cells affects tumour initiation remains unknown. Here we provide in vivo evidence that the mesenchymal niche controls tumour initiation in trans. By characterizing the heterogeneity of the intestinal mesenchyme using single-cell RNA-sequencing analysis, we identified a population of rare pericryptal Ptgs2-expressing fibroblasts that constitutively process arachidonic acid into highly labile prostaglandin E-2 (PGE(2)). Specific ablation of Ptgs2 in fibroblasts was sufficient to prevent tumour initiation in two different models of sporadic, autochthonous tumorigenesis. Mechanistically, single-cell RNA-sequencing analyses of a mesenchymal niche model showed that fibroblast-derived PGE(2) drives the expansion omicron f a population of Sca-1(+) reserve-like stem cells. These express a strong regenerative/tumorigenic program, driven by the Hippo pathway effector Yap. In vivo, Yap is indispensable for Sca-1(+) cell expansion and early tumour initiation and displays a nuclear localization in both mouse and human adenomas. Using organoid experiments, we identified a molecular mechanism whereby PGE(2) promotes Yap dephosphorylation, nuclear translocation and transcriptional activity by signalling through the receptor Ptger4. Epithelial-specific ablation of Ptger4 misdirected the regenerative reprogramming of stem cells and prevented Sca-1(+) cell expansion and sporadic tumour initiation in mutant mice, thereby demonstrating the robust paracrine control of tumour-initiating stem cells by PGE(2)-Ptger4. Analyses of patient-derived organoids established that PGE(2)-PTGER4 also regulates stem-cell function in humans. Our study demonstrates that initiation of colorectal cancer is orchestrated by the mesenchymal niche and reveals a mechanism by which rare pericryptal Ptgs2-expressing fibroblasts exert paracrine control over tumour-initiating stem cells via the druggable PGE(2)-Ptger4-Yap signalling axis.


Single-cell RNA-sequencing analysis of intestinal mesenchyme identified a population of fibroblasts that produce prostaglandin E-2, which, when disrupted, prevented initiation of intestinal tumours.


  
Population growth and land development: Investigating the bi-directional interactions 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2020, 169
作者:  Tong, Qingmeng;  Qiu, Feng
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Population growth  Land development  Spatial spillovers  Spatial regression model  
Recurrent interactions in local cortical circuits 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 256-+
作者:  Liu, Yang;  Nguyen, Phong T.;  Wang, Xun;  Zhao, Yuting;  Meacham, Corbin E.;  Zou, Zhongju;  Bordieanu, Bogdan;  Johanns, Manuel;  Vertommen, Didier;  Wijshake, Tobias;  May, Herman;  Xiao, Guanghua;  Shoji-Kawata, Sanae;  Rider, Mark H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Most cortical synapses are local and excitatory. Local recurrent circuits could implement amplification, allowing pattern completion and other computations(1-4). Cortical circuits contain subnetworks that consist of neurons with similar receptive fields and increased connectivity relative to the network average(5,6). Cortical neurons that encode different types of information are spatially intermingled and distributed over large brain volumes(5-7), and this complexity has hindered attempts to probe the function of these subnetworks by perturbing them individually(8). Here we use computational modelling, optical recordings and manipulations to probe the function of recurrent coupling in layer 2/3 of the mouse vibrissal somatosensory cortex during active tactile discrimination. A neural circuit model of layer 2/3 revealed that recurrent excitation enhances sensory signals by amplification, but only for subnetworks with increased connectivity. Model networks with high amplification were sensitive to damage: loss of a few members of the subnetwork degraded stimulus encoding. We tested this prediction by mapping neuronal selectivity(7) and photoablating(9,10) neurons with specific selectivity. Ablation of a small proportion of layer 2/3 neurons (10-20, less than 5% of the total) representing touch markedly reduced responses in the spared touch representation, but not in other representations. Ablations most strongly affected neurons with stimulus responses that were similar to those of the ablated population, which is also consistent with network models. Recurrence among cortical neurons with similar selectivity therefore drives input-specific amplification during behaviour.


Computational modelling, imaging and single-cell ablation in layer 2/3 of the mouse vibrissal somatosensory cortex reveals that recurrent activity in cortical neurons can drive input-specific amplification during behaviour.


  
MAFG-driven astrocytes promote CNS inflammation 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 578 (7796) : 593-+
作者:  Clark, Peter U.;  He, Feng;  Golledge, Nicholas R.;  Mitrovica, Jerry X.;  Dutton, Andrea;  Hoffman, Jeremy S.;  Dendy, Sarah
收藏  |  浏览/下载:38/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Multiple sclerosis is a chronic inflammatory disease of the CNS1. Astrocytes contribute to the pathogenesis of multiple sclerosis(2), but little is known about the heterogeneity of astrocytes and its regulation. Here we report the analysis of astrocytes in multiple sclerosis and its preclinical model experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE) by single-cell RNA sequencing in combination with cell-specific Ribotag RNA profiling, assay for transposase-accessible chromatin with sequencing (ATAC-seq), chromatin immunoprecipitation with sequencing (ChIP-seq), genome-wide analysis of DNA methylation and in vivo CRISPR-Cas9-based genetic perturbations. We identified astrocytes in EAE and multiple sclerosis that were characterized by decreased expression of NRF2 and increased expression of MAFG, which cooperates with MAT2 alpha to promote DNA methylation and represses antioxidant and anti-inflammatory transcriptional programs. Granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF) signalling in astrocytes drives the expression of MAFG and MAT2 alpha and pro-inflammatory transcriptional modules, contributing to CNS pathology in EAE and, potentially, multiple sclerosis. Our results identify candidate therapeutic targets in multiple sclerosis.


Single-cell RNA sequencing of cells from humans with multiple sclerosis and mice with a model of the disease identifies a population of disease-promoting astrocytes in which anti-oxidant and anti-inflammatory proteins are suppressed.


  
Assessing seasonal demographic covariation to understand environmental-change impacts on a hibernating mammal 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2020, 23 (4) : 588-597
作者:  Paniw, Maria;  Childs, Dylan Z.;  Armitage, Kenneth B.;  Blumstein, Daniel T.;  Martin, Julien G. A.;  Oli, Madan K.;  Ozgul, Arpat
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Bayesian population model  carry-over effects  demography  factor-analytic models  seasonal structured population models  viability  
Recovery of critically endangered Nassau grouper (Epinephelus striatus) in the Cayman Islands following targeted conservation actions 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (3) : 1587-1595
作者:  Waterhouse, Lynn;  Heppell, Scott A.;  Pattengill-Semmens, Christy V.;  McCoy, Croy;  Bush, Phillippe;  Johnson, Bradley C.;  Semmens, Brice X.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
fish-spawning aggregation  Nassau grouper  integrated population model  mark-resight  tagging  
Climate change disrupts local adaptation and favours upslope migration 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Anderson, Jill T.;  Wadgymar, Susana M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Common garden  elevational gradient  integral projection model  local adaptation  population growth rate  reciprocal transplant  
Size and density mediate transitions between competition and facilitation 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (11) : 1879-1888
作者:  Cameron, Hayley;  Coulson, Tim;  Marshall, Dustin J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Competitive hierarchy  integral projection model  interspecific interactions  life history  population dynamics  response surface  trait variation  
Forecasting species range dynamics with process-explicit models: matching methods to applications 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (11) : 1940-1956
作者:  Briscoe, Natalie J.;  Elith, Jane;  Salguero-Gomez, Roberto;  Lahoz-Monfort, Jose J.;  Camac, James S.;  Giljohann, Katherine M.;  Holden, Matthew H.;  Hradsky, Bronwyn A.;  Kearney, Michael R.;  McMahon, Sean M.;  Phillips, Ben L.;  Regan, Tracey J.;  Rhodes, Jonathan R.;  Vesk, Peter A.;  Wintle, Brendan A.;  Yen, Jian D. L.;  Guillera-Arroita, Gurutzeta
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Demography  mechanistic  population dynamics  process-based models  species distribution model