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Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Unprecedented Northern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone Genesis in 2018 Shaped by Subtropical Warming in the North Pacific and the North Atlantic 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Wang, Chao;  Wang, Bin;  Cao, Jian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season  North Pacific subtropical high  subtropical sea surface warming  tropical cyclone genesis  
US temperatures: Time trends and persistence 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (13) : 5091-5103
作者:  Gil-Alana, Luis A.;  Sauci, Laura
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
climate change  fractional integration  global warming  long memory  time trend  surface temperature  
Forced summer stationary waves: the opposing effects of direct radiative forcing and sea surface warming 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4291-4309
作者:  Baker, Hugh S.;  39;Reilly, Christopher H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Stationary waves  Radiative forcing  Sea surface warming  Midlatitude circulation  Land-sea thermal contrast  Rossby waves  
The global warming hiatus has faded away: An analysis of 2014-2016 global surface air temperatures 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (12) : 4853-4868
作者:  Zhang, Chao;  Li, Shuanglin;  Luo, Feifei;  Huang, Zhen
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
global annual surface temperature  record warming in recent years  timescale separation  warming hiatus  
More extreme marine heatwaves in the China Seas during the global warming hiatus 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (10)
作者:  Li, Yan;  Ren, Guoyu;  Wang, Qingyuan;  You, Qinglong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
marine heatwave  sea surface temperature  global warming hiatus  China seas  
Near-future tropical cyclone predictions in the western North Pacific: fewer tropical storms but more typhoons 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1341-1356
作者:  Choi, Woosuk;  Ho, Chang-Hoi;  Kim, Jinwon;  Chan, Johnny C. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Tropical cyclone  Western North Pacific  Near-future prediction  El Nino-Southern Oscillation  North Pacific  Sea surface temperature  Pacific warming  
Cloud cover and cloud types in the Eurasian Arctic in 1936-2012 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Chernokulsky, Alexander;  Esau, Igor
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Arctic clouds  climatic indices  cloud cover  cloud types  early 20th century warming  sea ice  stratocumulus transition  surface observations  
An Examination of Temperature Trends at High Elevations Across the Tibetan Plateau: The Use of MODIS LST to Understand Patterns of Elevation-Dependent Warming 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (11) : 5738-5756
作者:  Pepin, Nick;  Deng, Haijun;  Zhang, Hongbo;  Zhang, Fan;  Kang, Shichang;  Yao, Tandong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
land surface temperature  elevation-dependent-warming  mountain climate  temperature trends  Tibetan Plateau  
Spatial-Temporal Variation of Lake Surface Water Temperature and Its Driving Factors in Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (6) : 4688-4703
作者:  Yang, Kun;  Yu, Zhenyu;  Luo, Yi;  Zhou, Xiaolu;  Shang, Chunxue
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
lake surface water temperature  plateau lake  lake type  climate warming  urbanization  K-Means clustering method