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森林保护措施能有效减少全球范围内的二氧化碳排放 快报文章
气候变化快报,2023年第12期
作者:  秦冰雪
Microsoft Word(14Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:564/0  |  提交时间:2023/06/20
Climate Change Mitigation  Protected Area  
青藏高原或将成为新的气候临界要素 快报文章
气候变化快报,2023年第2期
作者:  秦冰雪
Microsoft Word(15Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2023/01/19
Tipping Element  Amazon Rainforest Area  Tibetan Plateau  
青藏高原或将成为新的气候临界要素 快报文章
气候变化快报,2023年第2期
作者:  秦冰雪
Microsoft Word(15Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:571/0  |  提交时间:2023/01/19
Tipping Element  Amazon Rainforest Area  Tibetan Plateau  
An Adjusted Two-Leaf Light Use Efficiency Model for Improving GPP Simulations Over Mountainous Areas 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (13)
作者:  Xie, Xinyao;  Li, Ainong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
mountainous two-leaf light use efficiency model (MTL-LUE)  topographic effects  gross primary productivity (GPP)  direct radiation  diffuse radiation  sunlit canopy area  
Abrupt increase in harvested forest area over Europe after 2015 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 583 (7814) : 72-+
作者:  Guido Ceccherini;  Gregory Duveiller;  Giacomo Grassi;  Guido Lemoine;  Valerio Avitabile;  Roberto Pilli;  Alessandro Cescatti
收藏  |  浏览/下载:19/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/06

Fine-scale satellite data are used to quantify forest harvest rates in 26 European countries, finding an increase in harvested forest area of 49% and an increase in biomass loss of 69% between 2011-2015 and 2016-2018.


Forests provide a series of ecosystem services that are crucial to our society. In the European Union (EU), forests account for approximately 38% of the total land surface(1). These forests are important carbon sinks, and their conservation efforts are vital for the EU'  s vision of achieving climate neutrality by 2050(2). However, the increasing demand for forest services and products, driven by the bioeconomy, poses challenges for sustainable forest management. Here we use fine-scale satellite data to observe an increase in the harvested forest area (49 per cent) and an increase in biomass loss (69 per cent) over Europe for the period of 2016-2018 relative to 2011-2015, with large losses occurring on the Iberian Peninsula and in the Nordic and Baltic countries. Satellite imagery further reveals that the average patch size of harvested area increased by 34 per cent across Europe, with potential effects on biodiversity, soil erosion and water regulation. The increase in the rate of forest harvest is the result of the recent expansion of wood markets, as suggested by econometric indicators on forestry, wood-based bioenergy and international trade. If such a high rate of forest harvest continues, the post-2020 EU vision of forest-based climate mitigation may be hampered, and the additional carbon losses from forests would require extra emission reductions in other sectors in order to reach climate neutrality by 2050(3).


  
International evaluation of an AI system for breast cancer screening 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7788) : 89-+
作者:  McKinney, Scott Mayer;  Sieniek, Marcin;  Godbole, Varun;  Godwin, Jonathan;  Antropova, Natasha;  Ashrafian, Hutan;  Back, Trevor;  Chesus, Mary;  Corrado, Greg C.;  Darzi, Ara;  Etemadi, Mozziyar;  Garcia-Vicente, Florencia;  Gilbert, Fiona J.;  Halling-Brown, Mark;  Hassabis, Demis;  Jansen, Sunny;  Karthikesalingam, Alan;  Kelly, Christopher J.;  King, Dominic;  Ledsam, Joseph R.;  Melnick, David;  Mostofi, Hormuz;  Peng, Lily;  Reicher, Joshua Jay;  Romera-Paredes, Bernardino;  Sidebottom, Richard;  Suleyman, Mustafa;  Tse, Daniel;  Young, Kenneth C.;  De Fauw, Jeffrey;  Shetty, Shravya
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Screening mammography aims to identify breast cancer at earlier stages of the disease, when treatment can be more successful(1). Despite the existence of screening programmes worldwide, the interpretation of mammograms is affected by high rates of false positives and false negatives(2). Here we present an artificial intelligence (AI) system that is capable of surpassing human experts in breast cancer prediction. To assess its performance in the clinical setting, we curated a large representative dataset from the UK and a large enriched dataset from the USA. We show an absolute reduction of 5.7% and 1.2% (USA and UK) in false positives and 9.4% and 2.7% in false negatives. We provide evidence of the ability of the system to generalize from the UK to the USA. In an independent study of six radiologists, the AI system outperformed all of the human readers: the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) for the AI system was greater than the AUC-ROC for the average radiologist by an absolute margin of 11.5%. We ran a simulation in which the AI system participated in the double-reading process that is used in the UK, and found that the AI system maintained non-inferior performance and reduced the workload of the second reader by 88%. This robust assessment of the AI system paves the way for clinical trials to improve the accuracy and efficiency of breast cancer screening.


  
Black Carbon Particles Do Not Matter for Immersion Mode Ice Nucleation 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (11)
作者:  Kanji, Zamin A.;  Welti, Andre;  Corbin, Joel C.;  Mensah, Amewu A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
Heterogeneous ice nucleation  immersion freezing  soot  black carbon  surface area  mixed phase clouds  
Sentinel-1 observation frequency significantly increases burnt area detectability in tropical SE Asia 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (5)
作者:  Carreiras, Joao M. B.;  Quegan, Shaun;  Tansey, Kevin;  Page, Susan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
burnt area  tropics  Sentinel-1  radar  machine learning  Indonesia  
Structure of the human metapneumovirus polymerase phosphoprotein complex 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 275-+
作者:  Pan, Junhua;  Qian, Xinlei;  Lattmann, Simon;  El Sahili, Abbas;  Yeo, Tiong Han;  Jia, Huan;  Cressey, Tessa;  Ludeke, Barbara;  Noton, Sarah;  Kalocsay, Marian;  Fearns, Rachel;  Lescar, Julien
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and human metapneumovirus (HMPV) cause severe respiratory diseases in infants and elderly adults(1). No vaccine or effective antiviral therapy currently exists to control RSV or HMPV infections. During viral genome replication and transcription, the tetrameric phosphoprotein P serves as a crucial adaptor between the ribonucleoprotein template and the L protein, which has RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp), GDP polyribonucleotidyltransferase and cap-specific methyltransferase activities(2,3). How P interacts with L and mediates the association with the free form of N and with the ribonucleoprotein is not clear for HMPV or other major human pathogens, including the viruses that cause measles, Ebola and rabies. Here we report a cryo-electron microscopy reconstruction that shows the ring-shaped structure of the polymerase and capping domains of HMPV-L bound to a tetramer of P. The connector and methyltransferase domains of L are mobile with respect to the core. The putative priming loop that is important for the initiation of RNA synthesis is fully retracted, which leaves space in the active-site cavity for RNA elongation. P interacts extensively with the N-terminal region of L, burying more than 4,016 angstrom(2) of the molecular surface area in the interface. Two of the four helices that form the coiled-coil tetramerization domain of P, and long C-terminal extensions projecting from these two helices, wrap around the L protein in a manner similar to tentacles. The structural versatility of the four P protomers-which are largely disordered in their free state-demonstrates an example of a '  folding-upon-partner-binding'  mechanism for carrying out P adaptor functions. The structure shows that P has the potential to modulate multiple functions of L and these results should accelerate the design of specific antiviral drugs.


  
Monumental architecture at Aguada Fenix and the rise of Maya civilization 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Bedding, Timothy R.;  Murphy, Simon J.;  Hey, Daniel R.;  Huber, Daniel;  Li, Tanda;  Smalley, Barry;  Stello, Dennis;  White, Timothy R.;  Ball, Warrick H.;  Chaplin, William J.;  Colman, Isabel L.;  Fuller, Jim;  Gaidos, Eric;  Harbeck, Daniel R.;  Hermes, J. J.;  Holdsworth, Daniel L.;  Li, Gang;  Li, Yaguang;  Mann, Andrew W.;  Reese, Daniel R.;  Sekaran, Sanjay;  Yu, Jie;  Antoci, Victoria;  Bergmann, Christoph;  Brown, Timothy M.;  Howard, Andrew W.;  Ireland, Michael J.;  Isaacson, Howard;  Jenkins, Jon M.;  Kjeldsen, Hans;  McCully, Curtis;  Rabus, Markus;  Rains, Adam D.;  Ricker, George R.;  Tinney, Christopher G.;  Vanderspek, Roland K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:30/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Archaeologists have traditionally thought that the development of Maya civilization was gradual, assuming that small villages began to emerge during the Middle Preclassic period (1000-350 bc  dates are calibrated throughout) along with the use of ceramics and the adoption of sedentism(1). Recent finds of early ceremonial complexes are beginning to challenge this model. Here we describe an airborne lidar survey and excavations of the previously unknown site of Aguada Fenix (Tabasco, Mexico) with an artificial plateau, which measures 1,400 m in length and 10 to 15 m in height and has 9 causeways radiating out from it. We dated this construction to between 1000 and 800 bc using a Bayesian analysis of radiocarbon dates. To our knowledge, this is the oldest monumental construction ever found in the Maya area and the largest in the entire pre-Hispanic history of the region. Although the site exhibits some similarities to the earlier Olmec centre of San Lorenzo, the community of Aguada Fenix probably did not have marked social inequality comparable to that of San Lorenzo. Aguada Fenix and other ceremonial complexes of the same period suggest the importance of communal work in the initial development of Maya civilization.


Lidar survey of the Maya lowlands uncovers the monumental site of Aguada Fenix, which dates to around 1000-800 bc and points to the role of communal construction in the development of Maya civilization.