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新西兰发布首份年度减排进展监测报告 快报文章
气候变化快报,2024年第16期
作者:  裴惠娟
Microsoft Word(17Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:564/0  |  提交时间:2024/08/20
New Zealand  Emissions Budgets  Emissions Reduction Assessing Progress  
英研究评估全球净零目标现状并提出相关建议 快报文章
气候变化快报,2022年第02期
作者:  裴惠娟
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:780/0  |  提交时间:2022/01/19
Net Zero Targets  Assessing  
Population flow drives spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 in China 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Fernandez, Diego Carlos;  Komal, Ruchi;  Langel, Jennifer;  Ma, Jun;  Duy, Phan Q.;  Penzo, Mario A.;  Zhao, Haiqing;  Hattar, Samer
收藏  |  浏览/下载:88/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Sudden, large-scale and diffuse human migration can amplify localized outbreaks of disease into widespread epidemics(1-4). Rapid and accurate tracking of aggregate population flows may therefore be epidemiologically informative. Here we use 11,478,484 counts of mobile phone data from individuals leaving or transiting through the prefecture of Wuhan between 1 January and 24 January 2020 as they moved to 296 prefectures throughout mainland China. First, we document the efficacy of quarantine in ceasing movement. Second, we show that the distribution of population outflow from Wuhan accurately predicts the relative frequency and geographical distribution of infections with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) until 19 February 2020, across mainland China. Third, we develop a spatio-temporal '  risk source'  model that leverages population flow data (which operationalize the risk that emanates from epidemic epicentres) not only to forecast the distribution of confirmed cases, but also to identify regions that have a high risk of transmission at an early stage. Fourth, we use this risk source model to statistically derive the geographical spread of COVID-19 and the growth pattern based on the population outflow from Wuhan  the model yields a benchmark trend and an index for assessing the risk of community transmission of COVID-19 over time for different locations. This approach can be used by policy-makers in any nation with available data to make rapid and accurate risk assessments and to plan the allocation of limited resources ahead of ongoing outbreaks.


Modelling of population flows in China enables the forecasting of the distribution of confirmed cases of COVID-19 and the identification of areas at high risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission at an early stage.


  
Extreme rainfall triggered the 2018 rift eruption at Kilauea Volcano 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7804) : 491-+
作者:  Cloutier, Richard;  Clement, Alice M.;  Lee, Michael S. Y.;  Noel, Roxanne;  Bechard, Isabelle;  Roy, Vincent;  Long, John A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:61/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

The May 2018 rift intrusion and eruption of Kilauea Volcano, Hawai'  i, represented one of its most extraordinary eruptive sequences in at least 200 years, yet the trigger mechanism remains elusive(1). The event was preceded by several months of anomalously high precipitation. It has been proposed that rainfall can modulate shallow volcanic activity(2,3), but it remains unknown whether it can have impacts at the greater depths associated with magma transport. Here we show that immediately before and during the eruption, infiltration of rainfall into Kilauea Volcano'  s subsurface increased pore pressure at depths of 1 to 3 kilometres by 0.1 to 1 kilopascals, to its highest pressure in almost 50 years. We propose that weakening and mechanical failure of the edifice was driven by changes in pore pressure within the rift zone, prompting opportunistic dyke intrusion and ultimately facilitating the eruption. A precipitation-induced eruption trigger is consistent with the lack of precursory summit inflation, showing that this intrusion-unlike others-was not caused by the forceful intrusion of new magma into the rift zone. Moreover, statistical analysis of historic eruption occurrence suggests that rainfall patterns contribute substantially to the timing and frequency of Kilauea'  s eruptions and intrusions. Thus, volcanic activity can be modulated by extreme rainfall triggering edifice rock failure-a factor that should be considered when assessing volcanic hazards. Notably, the increasingly extreme weather patterns associated with ongoing anthropogenic climate change could increase the potential for rainfall-triggered volcanic phenomena worldwide.


Immediately before and during the eruption of Ki & x304  lauea Volcano in May 2018, anomalously high rainfall increased the pore pressure in the subsurface to its highest level in 50 years, causing weakening and mechanical failure of the edifice.


  
Video-based AI for beat-to-beat assessment of cardiac function 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7802) : 252-+
作者:  Pleguezuelos-Manzano, Cayetano;  Puschhof, Jens;  Huber, Axel Rosendahl;  van Hoeck, Arne;  Wood, Henry M.;  Nomburg, Jason;  Gurjao, Carino;  Manders, Freek;  Dalmasso, Guillaume;  Stege, Paul B.;  Paganelli, Fernanda L.;  Geurts, Maarten H.;  Beumer, Joep;  Mizutani, Tomohiro;  Miao, Yi;  van der Linden, Reinier;  van der Elst, Stefan;  Garcia, K. Christopher;  Top, Janetta;  Willems, Rob J. L.;  Giannakis, Marios;  Bonnet, Richard;  Quirke, Phil;  Meyerson, Matthew;  Cuppen, Edwin;  van Boxtel, Ruben;  Clevers, Hans
收藏  |  浏览/下载:143/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

A video-based deep learning algorithm-EchoNet-Dynamic-accurately identifies subtle changes in ejection fraction and classifies heart failure with reduced ejection fraction using information from multiple cardiac cycles.


Accurate assessment of cardiac function is crucial for the diagnosis of cardiovascular disease(1), screening for cardiotoxicity(2) and decisions regarding the clinical management of patients with a critical illness(3). However, human assessment of cardiac function focuses on a limited sampling of cardiac cycles and has considerable inter-observer variability despite years of training(4,5). Here, to overcome this challenge, we present a video-based deep learning algorithm-EchoNet-Dynamic-that surpasses the performance of human experts in the critical tasks of segmenting the left ventricle, estimating ejection fraction and assessing cardiomyopathy. Trained on echocardiogram videos, our model accurately segments the left ventricle with a Dice similarity coefficient of 0.92, predicts ejection fraction with a mean absolute error of 4.1% and reliably classifies heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (area under the curve of 0.97). In an external dataset from another healthcare system, EchoNet-Dynamic predicts the ejection fraction with a mean absolute error of 6.0% and classifies heart failure with reduced ejection fraction with an area under the curve of 0.96. Prospective evaluation with repeated human measurements confirms that the model has variance that is comparable to or less than that of human experts. By leveraging information across multiple cardiac cycles, our model can rapidly identify subtle changes in ejection fraction, is more reproducible than human evaluation and lays the foundation for precise diagnosis of cardiovascular disease in real time. As a resource to promote further innovation, we also make publicly available a large dataset of 10,030 annotated echocardiogram videos.


  
Assessing progress towards sustainable development over space and time 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7788) : 74-+
作者:  Xu, Zhenci;  Chau, Sophia N.;  Chen, Xiuzhi;  Zhang, Jian;  Li, Yingjie;  Dietz, Thomas;  Wang, Jinyan;  Winkler, Julie A.;  Fan, Fan;  Huang, Baorong;  Li, Shuxin;  Wu, Shaohua;  Herzberger, Anna;  Tang, Ying;  Hong, Dequ;  Li, Yunkai;  Liu, Jianguo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:41/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

To address global challenges(1-4), 193 countries have committed to the 17 United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)(5). Quantifying progress towards achieving the SDGs is essential to track global efforts towards sustainable development and guide policy development and implementation. However, systematic methods for assessing spatio-temporal progress towards achieving the SDGs are lacking. Here we develop and test systematic methods to quantify progress towards the 17 SDGs at national and subnational levels in China. Our analyses indicate that China'  s SDG Index score (an aggregate score representing the overall performance towards achieving all 17 SDGs) increased at the national level from 2000 to 2015. Every province also increased its SDG Index score over this period. There were large spatio-temporal variations across regions. For example, eastern China had a higher SDG Index score than western China in the 2000s, and southern China had a higher SDG Index score than northern China in 2015. At the national level, the scores of 13 of the 17 SDGs improved over time, but the scores of four SDGs declined. This study suggests the need to track the spatio-temporal dynamics of progress towards SDGs at the global level and in other nations.


  
The pheromone darcin drives a circuit for innate and reinforced behaviours 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 578 (7793) : 137-+
作者:  Du, Zhiguo;  Yang, Shubin;  Li, Songmei;  Lou, Jun;  Zhang, Shuqing;  Wang, Shuai;  Li, Bin;  Gong, Yongji;  Song, Li;  Zou, Xiaolong;  Ajayan, Pulickel M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:55/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Organisms have evolved diverse behavioural strategies that enhance the likelihood of encountering and assessing mates(1). Many species use pheromones to communicate information about the location, sexual and social status of potential partners(2). In mice, the major urinary protein darcin-which is present in the urine of males-provides a component of a scent mark that elicits approach by females and drives learning(3,4). Here we show that darcin elicits a complex and variable behavioural repertoire that consists of attraction, ultrasonic vocalization and urinary scent marking, and also serves as a reinforcer in learning paradigms. We identify a genetically determined circuit-extending from the accessory olfactory bulb to the posterior medial amygdala-that is necessary for all behavioural responses to darcin. Moreover, optical activation of darcin-responsive neurons in the medial amygdala induces both the innate and the conditioned behaviours elicited by the pheromone. These neurons define a topographically segregated population that expresses neuronal nitric oxide synthase. We suggest that this darcin-activated neural circuit integrates pheromonal information with internal state to elicit both variable innate behaviours and reinforced behaviours that may promote mate encounters and mate selection.


A neural circuit activated by the male pheromone, darcin, mediates a complex and variable array of innate and reinforced behaviours that may promote mate encounters and mate selection.


  
Behavioral Health in the District of Columbia: Assessing Need and Evaluating the Public System of Care 科技报告
来源:Rand Corporation. 出版年: 2010
作者:  侘ʳ贈ʾnizational Leadership Performance;  Economists;  Organizational OrganiKatherine E. Watkins;  HaCarole Roan Gresenz;  Janice C. Blanchard;  Justin W. Timbie;  Joie Acosta;  Craig Evan Pollack;  Teague Ruder;  Brendan Saloner;  Rhondee Benjamin-Johnson;  Robin M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:23/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
侘ʳ뎈Ŀ/UCLA Quality-of-Care Measures for Carpal Tunnel Syndrome: Tools for Assessing QualHealth Behaviors  Health Care Organization and Administration  District Of Columbia  Public Health  Substance Abuse  Mental Health and Illness  
Asbestos Bankruptcy Trusts: An Overview of Trust Structure and Activity with Detailed Reports on the Largest Trusts 科技报告
来源:Rand Corporation. 出版年: 2010
作者:  Lloyd Dixon;  Geoffrey McGovern;  Amy Coombe
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
ꙸĿ뎈Ŀ/UCLA Quality-of-Care Measures for Carpal Tunnel Syndrome: Tools for Assessing Quality of Care and AppropriateCivil Law  Bankruptcy Trusts  Economists  Asbestos Litigation  Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act Of 2005  Law and Busin  
Achieving Strong Teamwork Practices in Hospital Labor and Delivery Units 科技报告
来源:Rand Corporation. 出版年: 2010
作者:  Donna O. Farley;  Melony E. Sorbero;  Susan L. Lovejoy;  Mary Salisbury
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
ꙸĿ뎈Ŀ/UCLA Quality-of-Care Measures for Carpal Tunnel Syndrome: Tools for Assessing Quality of Care and AppropriateCivil Law  BEvidence Based Health Practice  Patient Safety  Health Care Education and Training  Medical Professionals  Hospitals  Obstetrics