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Ensemble flood forecasting based on a coupled atmospheric-hydrological modeling system with data assimilation 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 224: 127-137
作者:  Tian, Jiyang;  Liu, Jia;  Yan, Denghua;  Ding, Liuqian;  Li, Chuanzhe
收藏  |  浏览/下载：19/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Numerical weather prediction  Data assimilation  Rainfall-runoff model  Atmospheric-hydrological modeling system  Ensemble flood forecasting  
Effects of climate change and adaptation options on winter wheat yield under rainfed Mediterranean conditions in southern Portugal 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2019, 154: 159-178
作者:  Yang, Chenyao;  Fraga, Helder;  van Ieperen, Wim;  Trindade, Henrique;  Santos, Joao A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：19/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Dryland environment  Crop modeling  STICS  Regional climate projections  Multi-model ensemble  EURO-CORDEX  
Twenty-first-century climate change impacts on marine animal biomass and ecosystem structure across ocean basins 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (2) : 459-472
作者:  Bryndum-Buchholz, Andrea;  Tittensor, Derek P.;  Blanchard, Julia L.;  Cheung, William W. L.;  Coll, Marta;  Galbraith, Eric D.;  Jennings, Simon;  Maury, Olivier;  Lotze, Heike K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：22/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
climate change  ensemble modeling  future projection  marine animal biomass  marine ecosystem models  model intercomparison  ocean basins  uncertainty  
Model consensus projections of US regional hydroclimates under greenhouse warming 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (1)
作者:  Phillips, Thomas J.;  Bonfils, Celine J. W.;  Zhang, Chengzhu
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
hydroclimatic change  greenhouse warming  climate modeling  ensemble averaging  
Managing electricity price modeling risk via ensemble forecasting: The case of Turkey 期刊论文
ENERGY POLICY, 2018, 123: 390-403
作者:  Avci, Ezgi;  Ketter, Wolfgang;  van Heck, Eric
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Electricity markets  Day ahead auctions  Risk of price modeling  Ensemble forecasting  Multi-seasonality  Exogenous variable selection  Semi-transparent market  
Statistical Forecasting of Current and Future Circum-Arctic Ground Temperatures and Active Layer Thickness 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (10) : 4889-4898
作者:  Aalto, J.;  Karjalainen, O.;  Hjort, J.;  Luoto, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：14/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
ensemble modeling  permafrost  climate change  uncertainty  Arctic  ground thermal regime  
Quantitative Verification and Calibration of Volcanic Ash Ensemble Forecasts Using Satellite Data 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (8) : 4135-4156
作者:  Zidikheri, Meelis J.;  Lucas, Christopher;  Potts, Rodney J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
volcanic ash  ensemble forecasting  forecast verification  forecast calibration  inverse modeling  data assimilation  
An Iterative Local Updating Ensemble Smoother for Estimation and Uncertainty Assessment of Hydrologic Model Parameters With Multimodal Distributions 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2018, 54 (3) : 1716-1733
作者:  Zhang, Jiangjiang;  Lin, Guang;  Li, Weixuan;  Wu, Laosheng;  Zeng, Lingzao
收藏  |  浏览/下载：14/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
ensemble smoother  inverse modeling  multimodal distribution  
Ensemble modeling informs hypoxia management in the northern Gulf of Mexico 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2017, 114 (33) : 8823-8828
作者:  Scavia, Donald;  Bertani, Isabella;  Obenour, Daniel R.;  Turner, R. Eugene;  Forrest, David R.;  Katin, Alexey
收藏  |  浏览/下载：15/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
ensemble modeling  hypoxia  Gulf of Mexico  nitrogen-loading targets  
An Interactive Multi-Model for Consensus on Climate Change 科技报告
来源：US Department of Energy (DOE). 出版年： 2014
作者:  Kocarev, Ljupco
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/05
weather/climate models  weather predictions  climate projections  ensemble modeling  imperfect models