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Convection-Permitting Models Offer Promise of More Certain Extreme Rainfall Projections 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Fosser, Giorgia;  Kendon, Elizabeth J.;  Stephenson, David;  Tucker, Simon
收藏  |  浏览/下载：24/0  |  提交时间：2020/06/16
convection-permitting model  climate change  uncertainty  climate  
Sensitivity of Historical Climate Simulations to Uncertain Aerosol Forcing 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Dittus, Andrea J.;  Hawkins, Ed;  Wilcox, Laura J.;  Sutton, Rowan T.;  Smith, Christopher J.;  Andrews, Martin B.;  Forster, Piers M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：25/0  |  提交时间：2020/05/25
historical aerosol forcing  climate model simulations  Forcing uncertainty  Transient Climate Response  Large ensemble  
A Large Ensemble Approach to Quantifying Internal Model Variability Within the WRF Numerical Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (7)
作者:  Bassett, R.;  Young, P. J.;  Blair, G. S.;  Samreen, F.;  Simm, W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：24/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
ensemble  initial conditions  internal model variability (IMV)  regional climate model (RCM)  uncertainty  Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)  
Evaluation of methods for selecting climate models to simulate future hydrological change 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2019, 157 (3-4) : 407-428
作者:  Ross, Andrew C.;  Najjar, Raymond G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Climate model ensembles  Hydrological change  Model selection  Model uncertainty  
Uncertainty component estimates in transient climate projections Precision of estimators in a single time or time series approach 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2501-2516
作者:  Hingray, Benoit;  Blanchet, Juliette;  Evin, Guillaume;  Vidal, Jean-Philippe
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Uncertainty sources  Climate projections  ANOVA  Internal variability  Model uncertainty  Scenario uncertainty  Precision of estimates  
A method for investigating the relative importance of three components in overall uncertainty of climate projections 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (4) : 1853-1871
作者:  Zhuan, Meijia;  Chen, Jie;  Xu, Chong-Yu;  Zhao, Cha;  Xiong, Lihua;  Liu, Pan
收藏  |  浏览/下载：21/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
China  climate change  global climate model  greenhouse gases emissions scenario  internal climate variability  uncertainty  
Extreme temperature and precipitation changes associated with four degree of global warming above pre-industrial levels 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (4) : 1822-1838
作者:  Wang, Xiaoxin;  Jiang, Dabang;  Lang, Xianmei
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
4 degrees C global warming  climate extremes  inter-model uncertainty  signal-to-noise ratio  
Twenty-first-century climate change impacts on marine animal biomass and ecosystem structure across ocean basins 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (2) : 459-472
作者:  Bryndum-Buchholz, Andrea;  Tittensor, Derek P.;  Blanchard, Julia L.;  Cheung, William W. L.;  Coll, Marta;  Galbraith, Eric D.;  Jennings, Simon;  Maury, Olivier;  Lotze, Heike K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：22/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
climate change  ensemble modeling  future projection  marine animal biomass  marine ecosystem models  model intercomparison  ocean basins  uncertainty  
Using a Scenario-Neutral Framework to Avoid Potential Maladaptation to Future Flood Risk 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (2) : 1079-1104
作者:  Broderick, Ciaran;  Murphy, Conor;  Wilby, Robert L.;  Matthews, Tom;  Prudhomme, Christel;  Adamson, Mark
收藏  |  浏览/下载：15/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
climate change  flooding  hydrological model uncertainty  scenario neutral  Ireland  catchment regionalization  
A new method to identify robust climate analogues 期刊论文
CLIMATE RESEARCH, 2019, 78 (2) : 179-187
作者:  Walther, Carsten;  Luedeke, Matthias;  Gudipudi, Ramana
收藏  |  浏览/下载：17/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Climate analogue  Clustering algorithm  Adaptation  Uncertainty  Regional climate model